The end of XPERIAments

New month, new hopes.
As you probably know, Nokia has just introduced a new flagman device, N97.
Looking at the demo and UI of that device, I could not stop myself from thinking -

"This is the end of SonyEricsson XPERIA, there's so much more behind Nokia's offering...
Now XPERIA looks like another custom WinMo device, with that Panels user interface which is niche by design".

"Seriously - who wants to have multiple Panels? Why would a normal Joe User want a different view and UI every now and then?
To make himself accustomed to new ways all the time? Really, for UE junkies only."

Besides, it tries to push a new concept on you, one that all apps are just panels on the Panels Home screen (and there are multiple Home Screens!), and this would require developers to learn new things about panel setup, usability, coding. Not every one of those plain vanilla WinMo developers would just jump into that.

Another concept not only for user, but for a developer, too. Another API to learn.
Why would they invest extra time to support a tiny fraction of a WinMo market?
This is geek-only UI, utterly niche, more so than Apple was in the 90s."

I have my doubts that X1 will have success. I have had them even before N97 announcement, now they're even stronger.
XPERIA user interaction concept is bad example of when a feature hunger led to less ergonomic (although more flexible) design.
X1 was announced pretty long ago and I remember my buddy's excitement. He was an SE fan (like myself 5 years ago) and he wanted to get X1 badly. But he could not wait and got iPhone instead. Come on, Apple ships them for 18 years already, and only now Nokia and SE can put out an answer, besides both of them have had touch-screen devices for quite some time.

It will still take them some time to reach the same slick level of user experience and simplicity in access to advanced functions. Was Mr. Jobs right in his bravado about iPhone being 5 years ahead of any competitor?

N97 will also finally compel all existing N95 users (including myself) to upgrade.
A new era, indeed.

With UIQ let down, in 2009 we will have only those platforms competing for our (and the developers') mindshare and markeshare:

Google Android
Nokia Symbian
Apple iPhone
and Microsoft Windows Mobile

Ewan from AllAboutSymbian put out very similar thought about the market - it's tightening up - less players and more competition.

Will Nokia, like Microsoft, come in and take away Apple's crown, and put them back into smartphone niche?
Time will tell.
My POV is "Developers, Developers, Developers..." plus do something to consolidate app exploration, purchase and installation

Maybe it's a good idea for Nokia to provide free classes for Symbian developers?